NFL Odds & Lines for Betting in Sweden

About Our NFL Odds: Games odds here, outrights on another page

Our NFL odds framework includes both individual games and futures, with odds displayed for the most popular betting markets. You may notice slight differences in handicap lines tied to the odds, as the sportsbook offering the highest odds on one side of a bet might not offer the best odds on the other side. This variance helps explain why point spread or total lines may not always match exactly.

These NFL odds come from a range of licensed providers within Sweden’s regulated market, highlighting the highest available odds and often presenting better value than relying on a single betting provider. While a single account is enough to place a bet, having accounts with multiple operators and comparing odds can help maximize potential returns. We also provide Super Bowl odds for those interested in NFL futures markets.

Moneyline Betting in the NFL

In NFL Moneyline betting, you bet on the outright winner of a game without factoring in the point spread. For example:

• New England Patriots: 1.80
• Dallas Cowboys: 2.35

A 100 kr bet on the Patriots at odds of 1.80 would yield a payout of 180 kr if they win, while a 100 kr bet on the Cowboys at 2.35 would result in a payout of 235 kr upon a victory.

Point Spread Betting in the NFL

In NFL Point Spread betting, a point spread (or handicap) is assigned to each team to balance the odds. Here’s an example:

• New England Patriots -7.5: 1.90
• Dallas Cowboys +7.5: 1.90

Betting on the Patriots at -7.5 points requires them to win by 8 or more points for a successful wager, providing a payout of 190 kr for a 100 kr stake. If you wager on the Cowboys at +7.5, they need to either win outright or lose by 7 or fewer points for your bet to succeed.

Total Betting (Over/Under) in the NFL

In Total betting (or Over/Under), you predict whether the combined score of both teams will exceed or fall below a specified number. For example:

• Over 44.5: 1.87
• Under 44.5: 1.87

Betting on the Over indicates you expect a combined score higher than 44.5 points, yielding a payout of 187 kr for a 100 kr wager if the final score reaches 45 points or more. Conversely, selecting the Under suggests you anticipate a lower score, aiming for a total of 44 points or fewer.

Understanding Odds Margin or "Sportsbook Hold" on NFL Games

Here’s an example calculation of the odds margin using the moneyline for a hypothetical game between the Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears:

• Green Bay Packers: 1.67
• Chicago Bears: 2.30

To find the implied probability for each team, we convert the decimal odds:

• Implied probability for Green Bay Packers: 1 / 1.67 = 0.5988 (or 59.88%)
• Implied probability for Chicago Bears: 1 / 2.30 = 0.4348 (or 43.48%)

Adding these probabilities, the total is slightly over 1 (or 100%), meaning a margin is built in:

• Odds margin (sportsbook hold): 1 - (0.5988 + 0.4348) ≈ 0.0334, or 3.34%

This margin represents the sportsbook's expected profit, around 3.34% of the total wagered amount. Analyzing the odds margin helps bettors in Sweden identify competitive markets within this regulated environment, which can ultimately influence betting choices by revealing potentially better-value opportunities.

Understanding odds margin or "sportsbook hold" on NFL games:

Let's calculate the odds margin using the decimal odds for an NFL game between the Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears, on the moneyline:

Green Bay Packers: 1.67
Chicago Bears: 2.30

To calculate the odds margin, we need to convert the decimal odds into implied probabilities. Here's how we can do it:

Convert the Green Bay Packers' decimal odds to implied probability:
Implied probability for the Green Bay Packers = 1 / 1.67 = 0.5988 (approximately)

Convert the Chicago Bears' decimal odds to implied probability:
Implied probability for the Chicago Bears = 1 / 2.30 = 0.4348 (approximately)

Now, let's calculate the odds margin by subtracting the sum of the implied probabilities from 1:

Odds margin = 1 - (0.5988 + 0.4348) = 0.0334 (approximately)

In this case, the odds margin is approximately 0.0334, which represents the sportsbook's hold or profit. This means that, on average, the sportsbook expects to earn around 3.34% of the total wagers placed on this NFL game (the "handle").

Analyzing the odds margin can help Canadian bettors understand a given bookmaker's profitability and assess the competitiveness of the betting market for the given NFL game. It's important for bettors to consider the odds margin when making their betting decisions and look for opportunities with lower margins to potentially increase their chances of success.